I'll call complete bullshit on it. When you eliminate a door, it becomes 50/50. Surely someone with a bit of programming knowledge could write a very simple program to prove this. You'll get the same probability of winning either sticking with the original pick or switching.
Fuck, not complete bullshit, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_hall_problem#Increasing_the_number_of_doors The wikipedia version of it helps you to uhderstand it much more easily. I've linked to one of the aids to understanding, specifically, increasing the number of doors there are.
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